Rep. Becca Balint’s victory in 2022 was a historic moment for the Green Mountain State, which had never elected a woman to Congress in its 233-year history. The progressive former president pro tempore of the Vermont Senate won the Democratic nomination with 61%-37% over more centrist Lt. Gov. Molly Gray, aided by endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders and the LGBTQ Victory Fund.

She could hold this seat as long as she wants (her predecessor, now-Sen. Peter Welch, held the seat for 16 years). But Balint probably won’t stay in the House for long. The congresswoman has been lauded as the likely heir to 82-year-old independent Sen. Bernie Sanders. But Sanders appears poised to run for a fourth term. His allies are urging him to run for reelection, and though he’s the second oldest member of the upper chamber and would be 90 years old at the end of another term, he doesn’t appear to be slowing down.

There’s still time for Sanders (or Republican Gov. Phil Scott) to make a last-minute retirement decision, potentially changing Balint’s 2024 plans. But for

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