Despite Wisconsin’s purple hue, only two of the state’s eight congressional seats are held by Democrats — partially a function of the state’s political geography, since Democratic voters are hyper-concentrated in Milwaukee and Madison. The party had hoped for a chance to redraw the state’s congressional districts after liberals took control of the state Supreme Court in 2023, but redrawing the state legislative maps took priority, and the state Supreme Court ruled in March that it wouldn’t take up a challenge to the congressional map this year.
But Democrats do have a decent offensive opportunity in Wisconsin’s rural 3rd District, which was held by Democratic Rep. Ron Kind for nearly three decades until he retired. Freshman GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden — the only sitting member of Congress at the Capitol on Jan. 6 — flipped this seat last cycle in a closer race than anticipated, and seems to be doing everything in his power to keep himself vulnerable in 2024. Democrats are also keeping an eye on the suburban 1st District, which has trended purple but is held by
Subscribe Today
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.