Sifting through early developments in search of clues to next year's elections is a risky, if not foolish, undertaking. With very few of newly-electedPresident Clinton's programs were actually voted on by Congress and many more just barely in the embryonic stage of development, thesuccess or failure of the first half of Clinton's term still very much up in the air. Making projections this far out, tenuous as they are, is an exercise in weighing how relevant historical patterns relate to the unique circumstances that seem to apply in a given election year.
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