The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2009/2010 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS

November 13, 2008

Governor Lineup: 29 Democrats, 21 Republicans, 0 Independents
Governors with names in parentheses are retiring.
Races in bold are 2009

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Governor races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

DEMOCRATS | 22 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (5)

Beebe (AR)

O'Malley (MD)

Patrick (MA)

Lynch (NH)

Paterson (NY)

LIKELY D (4)

ME (Baldacci)

NM (Richardson)

Strickland (OH)

OR (Kulongoski)

LEAN D (6)

Ritter (CO)

Blagojevich (IL)

Culver (IA)

Corzine (NJ)

PA (Rendell)

Doyle (WI)

TOSS UP (5)

AZ (Napolitano)

MI (Granholm)

OK (Henry)

TN (Bredesen)

VA (Kaine)

LEAN R (2)

KS (Sebelius)

WY (Freudenthal)

LIKELY R (0)

SOLID R (0)

REPUBLICANS | 16 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (0)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (1)

RI (Carcieri)

TOSS UP (3)

CA (Schwarzenegger)

HI (Lingle)

Gibbons (NV)

LEAN R (3)

Crist (FL)

GA (Perdue)

Pawlenty (MN)

LIKELY R (5)

AL (Riley)

Rell (CT)

SD (Rounds)

Perry (TX)

Douglas (VT)

SOLID R (4)

Palin (AK)

Otter (ID)

Heineman (NE)

SC (Sanford)

* = potential retirement

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