The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2008 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART

May 13, 2008

Below is a list of the competitive and potentially competitive House races for .

Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge

Democrats currently have 19 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 27 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

LEAN DEMOCRATIC

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CT-5 Christopher Murphy D+4
GA-12 John Barrow D+2
IL-8 Melissa Bean R+5
IN-8 Brad Ellsworth R+9
KS-3 Dennis Moore R+4
MN-1 Timothy Walz R+1
NH-2 Paul Hodes D+3
NY-19 John Hall R+1
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+1
OH-13 Betty Sutton D+6
OH-18 Zachary Space R+6
PA-7 Joe Sestak D+4
PA-8 Patrick Murphy D+3
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4

15 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+4
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+1
FL-16 Tim Mahoney R+2
GA-8 James Marshall R+8
IL-11 OPEN (Weller) R+1
IL-14 Bill Foster R+5
IN-9 Baron Hill R+7
KY-3 John Yarmuth D+2
LA-6 Don Cazayoux R+7
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter R+0
NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand R+3
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+3
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+4

12 DEMOCRATS
1 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 OPEN (Cramer) R+6
CA-11 Gerald McNerney R+3
KS-2 Nancy Boyda R+7
MS-1 VACANT R+10
OR-5 OPEN (Hooley) D+1
PA-10 Christopher Carney R+8
TX-22 Nick Lampson R+15

7 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP

LEAN REPUBLICAN

LIKELY REPUBLICAN

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AK-AL Donald Young R+14
AZ-1 OPEN (Renzi) R+2
MI-7 Timothy Walberg R+2
MN-3 OPEN (Ramstad) R+1
NJ-3 OPEN (Saxton) D+3
NJ-7 OPEN (Ferguson) R+1
NM-1 OPEN (Wilson) D+2
NY-13 Vito Fossella, Jr. D+1
NY-25 OPEN (Walsh) D+3
NY-26 OPEN (Reynolds) R+3
OH-15 OPEN (Pryce) R+1
OH-16 OPEN (Regula) R+4
VA-11 OPEN (Davis) R+1

13 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 OPEN (Everett) R+13
CO-4 Marilyn Musgrave R+9
CT-4 Christopher Shays D+5
FL-24 Tom Feeney R+3
IL-10 Mark Kirk D+4
LA-4 OPEN (McCrery) R+7
MI-9 Joseph Knollenberg R+0
MO-6 Samuel Graves R+5
NV-3 Jon Christopher Porter, Sr. D+1
NY-29 John Kuhl, Jr. R+5
NC-8 Robert Hayes R+3
OH-1 Steven Chabot R+1
WA-8 David G. Reichert D+2

13 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CA-50 Brian Bilbray R+5
FL-8 Ric Keller R+3
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R+4
FL-15 OPEN (Weldon) R+4
FL-21 Lincoln Diaz-Balart R+6
IL-6 Peter Roskam R+3
IL-18 OPEN (LaHood) R+5
MD-1 OPEN (Gilchrest) R+10
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+5
MO-9 OPEN (Hulshof) R+7
NM-2 OPEN (Pearce) R+6
OH-2 Jean Schmidt R+13
PA-3 Phillip English R+2
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+2
PA-18 Tim Murphy R+2
VA-2 Thelma Drake R+6

16 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS