2008 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART
July 17, 2008
Below is a list of the competitive and potentially competitive House races for .
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.
Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge
Democrats currently have 20 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 33 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC |
LEAN DEMOCRATIC |
DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| CT-5 |
Christopher Murphy |
D+4 |
| GA-12 |
John Barrow |
D+2 |
| IL-8 |
Melissa Bean |
R+5 |
| IN-8 |
Brad Ellsworth |
R+9 |
| KS-3 |
Dennis Moore |
R+4 |
| MN-1 |
Tim Walz |
R+1 |
| NH-2 |
Paul Hodes |
D+3 |
| NY-19 |
John Hall |
R+1 |
| NY-24 |
Michael Arcuri |
R+1 |
| OH-18 |
Zack Space |
R+6 |
| PA-7 |
Joe Sestak |
D+4 |
| PA-8 |
Patrick Murphy |
D+3 |
| TX-23 |
Ciro Rodriguez |
R+4 |
13 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AZ-5 |
Harry Mitchell |
R+4 |
| AZ-8 |
Gabrielle Giffords |
R+1 |
| FL-16 |
Tim Mahoney |
R+2 |
| GA-8 |
Jim Marshall |
R+8 |
| IL-11 |
OPEN (Weller) |
R+1 |
| IL-14 |
Bill Foster |
R+5 |
| IN-9 |
Baron Hill |
R+7 |
| KY-3 |
John Yarmuth |
D+2 |
| NH-1 |
Carol Shea-Porter |
R+0 |
| NY-13 |
OPEN (Fossella) |
D+1 |
| NY-20 |
Kirsten Gillibrand |
R+3 |
| NY-25 |
OPEN (Walsh) |
D+3 |
| OR-5 |
OPEN (Hooley) |
D+1 |
| PA-4 |
Jason Altmire |
R+3 |
| PA-11 |
Paul Kanjorski |
D+5 |
| VA-11 |
OPEN (Davis) |
R+1 |
| WI-8 |
Steve Kagen |
R+4 |
13 DEMOCRATS
4 REPUBLICANS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-5 |
OPEN (Cramer) |
R+6 |
| CA-11 |
Jerry McNerney |
R+3 |
| KS-2 |
Nancy Boyda |
R+7 |
| LA-6 |
Don Cazayoux |
R+7 |
| MS-1 |
Travis Childers |
R+10 |
| PA-10 |
Chris Carney |
R+8 |
| TX-22 |
Nick Lampson |
R+15 |
7 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
REPUBLICAN TOSS UP |
LEAN REPUBLICAN |
LIKELY REPUBLICAN |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AK-AL |
Don Young |
R+14 |
| AZ-1 |
OPEN (Renzi) |
R+2 |
| CO-4 |
Marilyn Musgrave |
R+9 |
| CT-4 |
Christopher Shays |
D+5 |
| IL-10 |
Mark Kirk |
D+4 |
| LA-4 |
OPEN (McCrery) |
R+7 |
| MI-7 |
Tim Walberg |
R+2 |
| MN-3 |
OPEN (Ramstad) |
R+1 |
| NJ-3 |
OPEN (Saxton) |
D+3 |
| NJ-7 |
OPEN (Ferguson) |
R+1 |
| NM-1 |
OPEN (Wilson) |
D+2 |
| NY-26 |
OPEN (Reynolds) |
R+3 |
| NY-29 |
Randy Kuhl |
R+5 |
| NC-8 |
Robin Hayes |
R+3 |
| OH-1 |
Steve Chabot |
R+1 |
| OH-15 |
OPEN (Pryce) |
R+1 |
| OH-16 |
OPEN (Regula) |
R+4 |
| WA-8 |
Dave Reichert |
D+2 |
18 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-2 |
OPEN (Everett) |
R+13 |
| FL-8 |
Ric Keller |
R+3 |
| FL-21 |
Lincoln Diaz-Balart |
R+6 |
| FL-24 |
Tom Feeney |
R+3 |
| MI-9 |
Joe Knollenberg |
R+0 |
| MO-6 |
Sam Graves |
R+5 |
| NV-3 |
Jon Porter |
D+1 |
| NM-2 |
OPEN (Pearce) |
R+6 |
| PA-3 |
Phil English |
R+2 |
| VA-2 |
Thelma Drake |
R+6 |
| WV-2 |
Shelley Moore Capito |
R+5 |
11 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-3 |
Mike Rogers |
R+4 |
| AZ-3 |
John Shadegg |
R+6 |
| CA-4 |
OPEN (Doolittle) |
R+11 |
| CA-46 |
Dana Rohrabacher |
R+6 |
| CA-50 |
Brian Bilbray |
R+5 |
| FL-9 |
Gus Bilirakis |
R+4 |
| FL-13 |
Vern Buchanan |
R+4 |
| FL-15 |
OPEN (Weldon) |
R+4 |
| FL-18 |
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen |
R+4 |
| FL-25 |
Mario Diaz-Balart |
R+4 |
| ID-1 |
Bill Sali |
R+19 |
| IL-6 |
Peter Roskam |
R+3 |
| IL-18 |
OPEN (LaHood) |
R+5 |
| IN-3 |
Mark Souder |
R+16 |
| IA-4 |
Tom Latham |
D+0 |
| KY-2 |
OPEN (Lewis) |
R+13 |
| MD-1 |
OPEN (Gilchrest) |
R+10 |
| MN-2 |
John Kline |
R+3 |
| MN-6 |
Michele Bachmann |
R+5 |
| MO-9 |
OPEN (Hulshof) |
R+7 |
| NE-2 |
Lee Terry |
R+9 |
| NV-2 |
Dean Heller |
R+8 |
| NJ-5 |
Scott Garrett |
R+4 |
| NC-10 |
Patrick McHenry |
R+15 |
| OH-2 |
Jean Schmidt |
R+13 |
| OH-7 |
OPEN (Hobson) |
R+6 |
| PA-5 |
OPEN (Peterson) |
R+10 |
| PA-6 |
Jim Gerlach |
D+2 |
| PA-15 |
Charlie Dent |
D+2 |
| PA-18 |
Tim Murphy |
R+2 |
| TX-7 |
John Culberson |
R+16 |
| TX-10 |
Michael McCaul |
R+13 |
| VA-5 |
Virgil Goode |
R+6 |
| VA-10 |
Frank Wolf |
R+5 |
| WY-AL |
OPEN (Cubin) |
R+19 |
35 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
www.cookpolitical.com