The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2010 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART

November 13, 2008

Below is a list of the competitive and potentially competitive House races for .

Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge

Democrats currently have 20 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 10 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

LEAN DEMOCRATIC

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-1 Ann Kirkpatrick R+2
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+4
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+1
FL-22 Ron Klein D+4
FL-24 Suzanne Kosmas R+3
IL-8 Melissa Bean R+5
IL-11 Debbie Halvorson R+1
IN-2 Joe Donnelly R+4
IN-9 Baron Hill R+7
KS-3 Dennis Moore R+4
ME-1 Chellie Pingree D+6
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter R+0
NJ-3 John Adler D+3
NM-1 Marty Heinrich D+2
NY-19 John Hall R+1
NY-20 Kirsten Gillibrand R+3
NY-25 Dan Maffei D+3
OH-1 Steve Driehaus R+1
OH-16 John Boccieri R+4
OH-18 Zack Space R+6
OR-5 Kurt Schrader D+1
PA-3 Kathy Dahlkemper R+2
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+3
PA-10 Chris Carney R+8
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4
VA-11 Gerald Connolly R+1
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+4

28 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 Parker Griffith R+6
CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+3
CO-4 Betsy Markey R+9
FL-8 Alan Grayson R+3
GA-8 Jim Marshall R+8
IL-14 Bill Foster R+5
MD-1 Frank Kratovil R+10
MI-7 Mark Schauer R+2
MI-9 Gary Peters R+0
MS-1 Travis Childers R+10
NV-3 Dina Titus D+1
NM-2 Harry Teague R+6
NY-13 Mike McMahon D+1
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+1
NY-29 Eric Massa R+5
NC-8 Larry Kissell R+3
TX-17 Chet Edwards R+18
VA-2 Glenn Nye R+6

18 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 Bobby Bright R+13
ID-1 Walter Minnick R+19

2 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

 

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP

LEAN REPUBLICAN

LIKELY REPUBLICAN

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AK-AL Don Young R+14
CA-4 VACANT R+11
LA-4 VACANT R+7
OH-15 VACANT R+1
VA-5 Virgil Goode R+6

5 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
CA-44 Ken Calvert R+6
CA-50 Brian Bilbray R+5
MI-11 Thad McCotter R+1
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+2
WA-8 Dave Reichert D+2

5 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-3 Mike Rogers R+4
AZ-3 John Shadegg R+6
CA-3 Dan Lungren R+7
CA-26 David Dreier R+4
CA-45 Mary Bono Mack R+3
CA-46 Dana Rohrabacher R+6
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R+4
FL-16 Tom Rooney R+2
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart R+4
IL-10 Mark Kirk D+4
IL-13 Judy Biggert R+5
IN-3 Mark Souder R+16
IA-4 Tom Latham D+0
MN-3 Erik Paulsen R+1
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+5
MO-9 Blaine Luetkemeyer R+7
NE-2 Lee Terry R+9
NV-2 Dean Heller R+8
NJ-7 Leonard Lance R+1
NY-26 Chris Lee R+3
OH-2 Jean Schmidt R+13
PA-15 Charlie Dent D+2
SC-1 Henry Brown R+10
TX-10 Michael McCaul R+13

24 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

* = potential retirement

www.cookpolitical.com