2010 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART
July 20, 2009
Below is a list of the competitive and potentially competitive House races for .
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.
Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge
Democrats currently have 23 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 10 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC |
LEAN DEMOCRATIC |
DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AZ-1 |
Ann Kirkpatrick |
R+6 |
| AZ-5 |
Harry Mitchell |
R+5 |
| AZ-8 |
Gabrielle Giffords |
R+4 |
| AR-1 |
Marion Berry |
R+8 |
| AR-2 |
Vic Snyder |
R+5 |
| CA-11 |
Jerry McNerney |
R+1 |
| CO-3 |
John Salazar |
R+5 |
| CT-4 |
Jim Himes |
D+5 |
| FL-22 |
Ron Klein |
D+1 |
| FL-24 |
Suzanne Kosmas |
R+4 |
| GA-8 |
Jim Marshall |
R+10 |
| GA-12 |
John Barrow |
D+1 |
| HI-1 |
OPEN (Abercrombie) |
D+11 |
| IL-11 |
Debbie Halvorson |
R+1 |
| IN-2 |
Joe Donnelly |
R+2 |
| IN-9 |
Baron Hill |
R+6 |
| IA-2 |
Dave Loebsack |
D+7 |
| IA-3 |
Leonard Boswell |
D+1 |
| LA-3 |
Charlie Melancon * |
R+12 |
| MI-9 |
Gary Peters |
D+2 |
| NJ-3 |
John Adler |
R+1 |
| NM-1 |
Martin Heinrich |
D+5 |
| NY-1 |
Tim Bishop |
R+0 |
| NY-13 |
Mike McMahon |
R+4 |
| NY-19 |
John Hall |
R+3 |
| NY-25 |
Dan Maffei |
D+3 |
| OH-16 |
John Boccieri |
R+4 |
| OR-4 |
Peter DeFazio* |
D+2 |
| OR-5 |
Kurt Schrader |
D+1 |
| PA-3 |
Kathy Dahlkemper |
R+3 |
| PA-4 |
Jason Altmire |
R+6 |
| PA-10 |
Chris Carney |
R+8 |
| PA-11 |
Paul Kanjorski |
D+4 |
| PA-12 |
John Murtha |
R+1 |
| TX-23 |
Ciro Rodriguez |
R+4 |
| VA-11 |
Gerald Connolly |
D+2 |
| WI-8 |
Steve Kagen |
R+2 |
37 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-5 |
Parker Griffith |
R+12 |
| CO-4 |
Betsy Markey |
R+6 |
| FL-8 |
Alan Grayson |
R+2 |
| IL-14 |
Bill Foster |
R+1 |
| MI-7 |
Mark Schauer |
R+2 |
| MS-1 |
Travis Childers |
R+14 |
| NV-3 |
Dina Titus |
D+2 |
| NH-1 |
Carol Shea-Porter |
R+0 |
| NH-2 |
OPEN (Hodes) |
D+3 |
| NY-20 |
Scott Murphy |
R+2 |
| NY-24 |
Michael Arcuri |
R+2 |
| NY-29 |
Eric Massa |
R+5 |
| NC-8 |
Larry Kissell |
R+2 |
| OH-1 |
Steve Driehaus |
D+1 |
| OH-15 |
Mary Jo Kilroy |
D+1 |
| OH-18 |
Zack Space |
R+7 |
| TX-17 |
Chet Edwards |
R+20 |
| VA-2 |
Glenn Nye |
R+5 |
| VA-5 |
Tom Perriello |
R+5 |
19 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-2 |
Bobby Bright |
R+16 |
| ID-1 |
Walter Minnick |
R+18 |
| MD-1 |
Frank Kratovil |
R+13 |
| NM-2 |
Harry Teague |
R+6 |
4 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS |
REPUBLICAN TOSS UP |
LEAN REPUBLICAN |
LIKELY REPUBLICAN |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| IL-10 |
OPEN (Kirk) |
D+6 |
| LA-2 |
Joseph Cao |
D+25 |
| NY-23 |
VACANT |
R+1 |
| PA-6 |
OPEN (Gerlach) |
D+4 |
4 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| CA-3 |
Dan Lungren |
R+6 |
| CA-44 |
Ken Calvert |
R+6 |
| MI-11 |
Thad McCotter |
R+0 |
| MN-6 |
Michele Bachmann |
R+7 |
| NE-2 |
Lee Terry |
R+6 |
| WA-8 |
Dave Reichert |
D+3 |
6 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
| DIST. |
REPRESENTATIVE |
PVI |
| AL-3 |
Mike Rogers |
R+9 |
| AK-AL |
Don Young |
R+13 |
| AZ-3 |
John Shadegg |
R+9 |
| CA-4 |
Tom McClintock |
R+10 |
| CA-26 |
David Dreier |
R+3 |
| CA-45 |
Mary Bono Mack |
R+3 |
| CA-46 |
Dana Rohrabacher |
R+6 |
| CA-48 |
John Campbell |
R+6 |
| CA-50 |
Brian Bilbray |
R+3 |
| DE-AL |
Mike Castle |
D+7 |
| FL-10 |
C. W. Bill Young |
R+1 |
| FL-12 |
OPEN (Putnam) |
R+6 |
| FL-13 |
Vern Buchanan |
R+6 |
| FL-16 |
Tom Rooney |
R+5 |
| FL-25 |
Mario Diaz-Balart |
R+5 |
| IL-6 |
Peter Roskam |
D+0 |
| IL-13 |
Judy Biggert |
R+1 |
| IN-3 |
Mark Souder |
R+14 |
| IA-4 |
Tom Latham |
D+0 |
| LA-4 |
John Fleming |
R+11 |
| LA-6 |
Bill Cassidy |
R+10 |
| MN-3 |
Erik Paulsen |
R+0 |
| MO-9 |
Blaine Luetkemeyer |
R+9 |
| NV-2 |
Dean Heller |
R+5 |
| NJ-7 |
Leonard Lance |
R+3 |
| NY-26 |
Chris Lee |
R+6 |
| OH-2 |
Jean Schmidt |
R+13 |
| OH-12 |
Patrick Tiberi |
D+1 |
| PA-15 |
Charlie Dent |
D+2 |
| PA-18 |
Tim Murphy |
R+6 |
| SC-1 |
Henry Brown |
R+10 |
| TN-3 |
OPEN (Wamp) |
R+13 |
| TX-10 |
Michael McCaul |
R+10 |
| VA-10 |
Frank Wolf |
R+2 |
34 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS |
* = potential retirement
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