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KS SENATE: Baseline Analysis

July 2, 2009
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes that Kansas is one of five open GOP-held Senate seats, and will be the easiest for the party to hold. In fact, the real contest is the Republican primary between Reps. Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt. Whoever wins the nomination will very likely be the Sunflower State’s next Senator.
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IN and IA Baseline Analyses

June 25, 2009
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy takes a look at the Senate races in Indiana and Iowa, and finds two incumbents who start the cycle as heavy favorites for re-election.
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IL SENATE: Baseline Analysis

June 18, 2009
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes that about the only thing certain in the Illinois Senate race is that, one way or another, appointed Democratic Sen. Roland Burris will not be the party’s nominee in 2010. As Democrats wait to see whether their preferred candidate, Attorney General Lisa Madigan, decides to get in the race, other Senate hopefuls are waiting in the wings, including state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, who raised $1.1 million in the first quarter. While Democrats are preoccupied with their primary maneuvering, Republicans are busy recruiting a top-tier challenger. They believe that the sour political environment in the state provides an opening for them, even in heavily Democratic Illinois.
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Race Charts

Senate At-A-Glance
A quick look at all Senate races, candidates and statistics. Updated weekly and printable for on-the-run reference. (Archive)

Senate Race Ratings
A top line review of the Senate races' rankings, printable on one page. (Archive)

Senate FEC Data
A summary of key information filed by candidates with the Federal Election Commission. (Archive)

Senate General Election Polling Data
A selection of reliable public opinion polling on key races across the nation.

Senate Primary Trial Heats Data
A selection of reliable public opinion polling on key races across the nation.

Three-Cycle Senate Race Chart
Bush Performance v. Kerry Performance. (PDF)

Five Cycle Senate Toss Up Races
Toss Up races and results from 1998-2006

2010 Battleground States
2010 Senate and Governors Races: McCain Performance vs. Obama Performance

Dashboard

DEM

REP

Partisan Breakdown

58

40

 

Seats up in 2010

37

17

19

 

TOSS UP

6

6

TOSS UP

LEAN D

2

2

LEAN R

LIKELY D

2

1

LIKELY R

SOLID D

12

12

SOLID R

Up in 2012

29

20

9

 

Up in 2014

33

20

13