Senate overviews

Jennifer Duffy, Senior Editor (U.S. Senate & Governors)

SENATE: The Race for 60 Goes into Overtime

November 5, 2008

Senate Democrats’ bid to gain nine seats to hit 60 and a theoretically filibuster-proof majority has stalled at 56, for the time being anyway. It is still possible that they could get to 60, but it requires winning all of the four outstanding races. Read on

SENATE: One Day Out, an Abundance of Caution

November 3, 2008

Nothing happened over the weekend in any of the 11 most vulnerable Republican-held seats to fundamentally alter their trajectory. At the same time, early voting trends have raised some flags in South Carolina. Read on

SENATE: The State of Play 5 Days Out; Outlook for Democratic Gains Expands to 8 to 10 Seats

October 30, 2008

Senate observers have toyed for nearly a year with the idea that Democrats might gain enough seats on Tuesday to reach 60 and a theoretically filibuster-proof majority. In January, that prospect seemed ridiculous. By July, it was a long shot. In early September, the likelihood of Democrats gaining enough seats to reach 60 seemed possible, but still difficult. Read on

SENATE: 12 Days Out, Two Republicans Beating the Odds

October 23, 2008

As Republican incumbents and challengers alike are struggling against a strong head wind, one GOP incumbent who has been on Democrats’ target list and one open-seat candidate seem to be defying the odds and are well-positioned to win on November 4. Read on

SENATE: The State of Play 15 Days Out, Democrats Poised to Gain 7 to 9 Seats

October 21, 2008

There haven’t been any major changes in the most competitive Senate races over the last seven days, but as the election draws closer, Republicans’ ability to hang on to some of their most endangered incumbents is diminishing. Read on

SENATE: The State of Play 22 Days Out

October 13, 2008

With the election just 22 short days away, Republican fortunes in the Senate are inextricably tied to the economy and the ups and downs – though mostly downs – of the stock market. And, according to some pollsters, GOP presidential nominee John McCain’s slow slide in the polls and President Bush’s frequent public appearances to comment on the economy aren’t helping. Read on

SENATE: When 60 Seats Doesn’t Add up to 60 Votes

August 21, 2008

The chatter about whether Democrats can pick up enough seats in November to hit the magic number of 60 and a filibuster-proof majority is getting louder, and is likely to be the subject of much discussion at the Democratic National Convention next week in Denver. Read on

Democrats’ Path to 60 Seats

August 7, 2008

As the scandal surrounding Sen. Larry Craig’s arrest unfolded nearly a year ago, MSNBC’s Tom Curry wrote, “…it now looks possible that in next year’s elections the Democrats just might attain the 60 seats they need to foil Republican filibusters.” Read on

Millionaire's Amendment Struck Down: What Does it Mean?

June 26, 2008

The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the so-called “Millionaire’s Amendment,” which had allowed candidates facing self-funded opponents to raise more money from individual donors, could significantly alter the financial playing field in a handful of Senate races and dozens of House races this year. Read on