
As we begin a new cycle, Republicans have a narrow edge in governorships, holding 27 states to 23 for Democrats. The two off-year 2025 races in Virginia and New Jersey could change that partisan breakdown slightly. But the real action will take place in 2026, when 36 seats are on the ballot. Democrats, who made significant gains in 2018 and 2022, begin the cycle playing more defense than offense.
Almost half of the gubernatorial contests up in 2026 — 14 or 15, depending on Wyoming’s unusual situation — will be open seats. The vast majority of these are in safe states, but open races in Michigan, Georgia and Kansas will be among the most competitive, as popular incumbents are term-limited.
Two swing state governors, Arizona Democrat Katie Hobbs and Nevada Republican Joe Lombardo are the most vulnerable incumbents. New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, who only narrowly won reelection in 2022, could face a significant primary challenge.
Democrats have three seats in Toss Up (Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin), and one (Kansas) in Lean Republican. Republicans have just two seats in
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The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
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