2024 was a historic year in Alabama politics. Not only did the state host a race on our board of competitive House contests after a 14-year absence, it also sent two African Americans to Congress for the first time ever.
The latter development is almost entirely attributable to the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2023 ruling in Allen v. Milligan, which effectively ordered the state to establish a second Black-opportunity district. But the current map could be gone as quickly as it came: Multiple sources say Alabama’s Republican-controlled Legislature has not closed the door on a potential redraw of the state’s congressional boundaries, a move that could give the party an easier shot at flipping back the 2nd District.
Whether Alabama gets a fourth map in as many cycles may depend on how the Supreme Court rules in Louisiana v. Callais, an impending redistricting case that deals with similar circumstances in the Pelican State. If the Court sides with the plaintiffs, who allege that Louisiana’s recent creation of a second Black-majority district constitutes discrimination against “non-Black” voters, Alabama could view that as
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The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
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