Believe it or not, there are more open seats than just the White House in 2016. As of today, there are 30 House members either retiring or running for higher office, as well as one vacancy. Of those 31 seats, 18 are currently held by Republicans. These numbers are fairly close to the historical average, and if the past is any indication, it's likely there will be around 40 open seats after all members reevaluate their future plans. Most elections for GOP open seats will be races to the right. Similar to the Democratic side, two-thirds of those 18 GOP seats will be effectively settled in primaries rather than general elections. The only six seats Democrats have any shot at are those being left behind by GOP Reps. David Jolly (FL-13), Dan Benishek (MI-01), John Kline (MN-02), Joe Heck (NV-03), Chris Gibson (NY-19), and Mike Fitzpatrick (PA-08). FL-06: OPEN (DeSantis) (R) - Northeast: Daytona Beach, St. Augustine Solid Republican. The new court-ordered remap made this seat a few points less Republican, but it's still a fairly safe GOP seat. The

More from the Cook Political Report

Amy
First Person
Cook Politcal Logo