Of the 16 districts held by Republicans that Joe Biden won, New Jersey’s 7th District is proving to be one of the tougher ones for Democrats to flip. GOP Rep. Tom Kean Jr., buoyed by warm feelings about his father, former Gov. Tom Kean, maintains a lead over Democrat Sue Altman, who has thus far struggled to break through in the expensive New York City media market.
Meanwhile, the race between Republican Derrick Anderson and Democrat Eugene Vindman in Virginia’s open 7th District remains close, despite Vindman swamping Anderson on the airwaves. Vindman’s saving grace is that Harris remains favored to carry this seat, which Biden won in 2020 by seven points — but polls show the presidential margin might be closer this time around.
We’re shifting both races in Republicans’ favor: New Jersey’s 7th moves from Toss Up to Lean Republican, and Virginia’s 7th moves from Lean Democrat to Toss Up.
New Jersey’s 7th District Moves From Toss Up to Lean RepublicanOn paper, New Jersey’s 7th is the kind of district where Democrats should be on the rise. A
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