The narrowing gap in the presidential race has given Republican House strategists renewed optimism that Donald Trump may not be as big a drag on their candidates as they once feared. With a few notable exceptions, recent polls have depicted stable or improving GOP numbers in many districts Democrats have considered top targets. This week, we are revising our ratings in eight districts, including six moves in Republicans' favor. Democrats would now need to sweep 36 of 37 seats we currently rate as competitive to retake the majority. That would be virtually impossible. Republicans are now well within reach of holding their November losses under the 13 seats they gained in 2014. In fact, if the 16 Toss Ups were to split down the middle on Election Night, Democrats would gain 10 seats. Check out our full House ratings here.

Ratings Changes

AZ-02: Rep. Martha McSally (R) - Southeast: Tucson, Cochise County Likely Republican. McSally's scant 161 vote victory over Democrat Ron Barber last fall initially made her a top 2016 target. But even Democrats admit that McSally, a trailblazing

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