Two months out from Election Day, Democrats’ prospects for taking control of the House are looking considerably brighter than they did two months ago. Democratic candidates are no longer burdened by an unpopular incumbent president, free to run in a political environment where Republicans no longer have a clear enthusiasm advantage, and continue to fill their campaign coffers as Republicans’ fundraising lags.
But even as momentum favors Democrats, who only need to net four seats to take the majority, the race for the House remains incredibly close. The battleground is confined to a few dozen seats across the country where neither party appears to have a clear advantage.
Both parties’ paths to victory largely look the same as they did at the beginning of the cycle. Democrats’ main focus is on ousting the 16 Republican incumbents who sit in seats that President Joe Biden won in 2020, though they’re now targeting a few more Republican incumbents in seats that narrowly favor former President Donald Trump. And Republicans are hoping to grow, or at least hold, their narrow majority by ousting
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