Seven weeks out, Republicans face difficult choices: which of their own districts should they abandon to focus resources on other districts that are savable? At this point, a number of GOP incumbents are in dire shape, including Reps. Mike Coffman (CO-06) and Erik Paulsen (MN-03) in addition to Reps. Rod Blum (IA-01), Keith Rothfus (PA-17) and Barbara Comstock (VA-10), who were already in our Lean Democratic column. If there's a caution for Democrats, however, it's that heavily Latinos districts haven't matched the enthusiasm and leftward movement parties have observed in professional suburbs. That's a big reason why Democrats haven't put away Florida's open 27th CD in Miami or California's open 39th CD in Orange County and why GOP Reps. Carlos Curbelo (FL-26) and Will Hurd (TX-23) remain narrow favorites. This week, we're shifting six ratings, four reflecting movement towards Democrats and two towards Republicans. View our full ratings here.
Rating Changes:FL-18: Brian Mast (R) - Lean R to Likely R → FL-27: OPEN (Ros-Lehtinen-R) - Lean D to Toss Up → GA-07: Rob Woodall (R) -Likely R to Lean
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The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
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