In 2022, some Republican House members paid a price for their hardline reputations. The highest-profile example was in Colorado’s 3rd District, where GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert won reelection by just 546 votes in her race against well-funded Democratic challenger Adam Frisch despite running in a district Donald Trump won by eight points. A different Freedom Caucus rabble-rouser in a slightly GOP-leaning seat, Rep. Scott Perry, escaped without a serious Democratic challenger in 2022 and won by eight points.

But Perry is in a much different predicament this cycle, after Democrats nominated veteran Harrisburg news anchor Janelle Stelson, a former registered Republican who outraised the incumbent by a massive $2.85 million to $900,000 in the most recent fundraising quarter.

It’s become increasingly clear that the fundraising differential is taking a serious toll on the congressman. Even as Trump is on pace to win Pennsylvania's 10th District again — he carried it by four points in 2020 — public and private polling show Perry underperforming Trump. The congressional race now looks neck-and-neck — and while the political environment should still favor Perry,

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