Over the 29 days since President Biden announced he would not seek reelection, things could have hardly gone better for Vice President Kamala Harris, as she prepares to accept the Democratic nomination this week at the party convention. Yet it’s unlikely that this run of stellar fortune will continue even through Sept. 16, when early voting begins in Pennsylvania, much less until Election Day on Nov. 5. Rarely does a party enjoy three and a half months of uninterrupted great news. In fact, Harris and her nascent campaign would do well to observe their opponent’s campaign for a lesson in just how quickly things can shift. For their sake, they must be better prepared, organizationally and psychologically, for dealing with adversity when it comes.
Even before the June 27 debate between Biden and former President Trump 53 days ago, Trump and his team were on a roll. The underlying data was positively gruesome for Democrats, although many could not bring themselves to believe it at the time. The debate—the emperor-has-no-clothes event of this campaign—followed by the July 13 attempt on
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