In one the most over-hyped annual events on the political calendar, President Trump Tuesday night will address a joint session of Congress. He will speak to a country that is no more or less divided than it was on Nov. 5, when he won a second term as president. Virtually every poll since he was sworn in 42 days ago has shown his approval rating within a few points of the 49.8 percent of the vote he received on Election Day. This past weekend, a CNN poll put Trump’s job-approval rating at 48 percent, and another by CBS/YouGov put it at 49 percent, both a bit higher than the 45 percent approvals in the February Gallup Poll and in an NPR/PBS poll conducted by Marist University released Monday morning.

Trump’s approval rating among Democrats was 10 percent in the CNN survey and 13 percent in both CBS and Marist. Among Republicans, Trump’s approval ratings were 90 percent in both CBS and CNN and 88 percent in Marist. There was some disparity among independents—34 percent approval in Marist, 41 percent in

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