This story was originally published on nationaljournal.com on November 8, 2016 While there still is a path to 270 electoral votes for Donald Trump, it’s barely visible. It would require winning all 24 states carried by Mitt Romney in 2012 including North Carolina, which is now very close, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, which is also tight. It would require winning Iowa, which is pretty likely; Nevada, which appears doubtful given the early vote; Ohio, which is close but where Trump has a bit of an edge; and Florida, which is also very close. Then he would need to win Maine’s 2nd Congressional District and finally New Hampshire, which is also razor-close. Each one of these eight races is within reach. He may well win one, two, maybe even four or five of them. But he needs all eight to hit 270 electoral votes, the magic number for victory. If he falls short in just one race, Clinton wins. While there are other theoretical possibilities—Trump winning Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, or any of the other states that Obama carried, for instance—the
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