One of the biggest questions in next year's presidential election will be what role gender will play in the voting and outcome, particularly if former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton wins the nomination. Over the past six presidential elections, Democrats have swept the female vote, by 8 points in 1992, by 16 points in 1996, by 11 points in 2000, by just 3 points in 2004, by 13 points in 2008, and by 11 points in 2012. Meanwhile, Republicans have carried the male vote four times: in 1996 (by 1 point), in 2000 and 2004 (both by 11 points), and in 2012 (by 7 points). Democrats came out ahead among men in 1992 (by 3 points) and 2008 (by 1 point). So while Republicans do have a problem with women voters, Democrats have one with men. In looking at the women's vote, however, race is a major factor that cannot be ignored. Among white women, Democrats broke even in 1992 and won by 5 points in 1996—but Republicans have swept this group in the past four elections, by just 1
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