With Donald Trump dominating the headlines and cable-news shows, it's easy to get caught up in the machinations of the unfolding 2016 presidential campaign and lose sight of the stakes—which are even higher than a lot of people appreciate. It's true that with Trump on the November ballot as either the Republican nominee (extremely unlikely) or as an independent (just plain unlikely), the dynamics of the race would be vastly changed. The only safe assumption at this point—that Republicans will hold on to their House majority, no matter what happens in the presidential and Senate elections—would be put in doubt as well. Anyone questioning that point should just look at Trump's unfavorable ratings among general-election voters, which are bad even among Republicans, or take a glance at polling on a three-way presidential election with Trump as the independent. A just-released ABC News/Washington Post survey showed Hillary Clinton beating former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush by six points head-to-head, 50 to 44 percent. But in a hypothetical three-way matchup, Clinton's lead balloons out to 16 points, 46 to 30 percent, with Trump
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