For both psephologists and everyday, armchair students of polls, the period leading into a new president’s 100th day in office is akin to Thanksgiving, with a veritable feast of polls that range across the quality spectrum.
Looking through them all, the best argument that President Trump’s backers can point to is the complete solidarity of fellow Republicans: Just when it seemed that his numbers couldn’t go any higher among the party faithful, they did. In fact, every time he faces adversity, his numbers in the GOP base harden even more.
Yet while Trump’s numbers are not “cratering,” as some in the media have claimed, they have dropped in a measurable way, even on his onetime strengths of handling the economy in general and inflation in particular. The issue that provided so much buoyancy during his first term in office and made voters during President Biden’s term feel almost nostalgic for the previous four years is now becoming a liability.
The resurrection of inflation, largely dormant for 30 years until the late spring and early summer of 2021, combined with the
What is The Cook Political Report?
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
Subscribe Today
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.