The election coming in 22 days paradoxically features both certain change and absolute uncertainty. The certainty of change comes in part from it being the first presidential election since 1976 without a Bush, Clinton, or Biden on either ticket. For that matter, the presidential election four years from now will almost certainly be the first without a Bush, Clinton, Biden, or Trump on either ticket since 1976.

The absolute uncertainty can be found in that the races for president and control of the House are both coin flips, with no discernible advantage for either party.

The Senate offers not only near-certain change from Democratic to Republican hands, but also the certain departure of Sen. Mitch McConnell from his longtime post as Republican leader. His party will have its first new leader since 2007.

The fact is indisputable that all seven swing states in the presidential race are basically dead even in polling. Any poll in the swing-state presidential contests in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, or North Carolina that doesn’t show the contest within the margin of error should

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