A number of ambitious politicians eyeing a potential 2028 presidential bid have a crucial decision to make in the next few months: Should they run for Senate or governor seats in 2026?

On the one hand, especially for termed-out governors and former Biden administration officials, a statewide perch provides an opportunity to keep themselves relevant. But it could also require them to take politically risky votes and actions for the next two years. This is especially true for governors whose lack of experience in Washington is an asset rather than a liability. And a loss would almost certainly dim their 2028 appeal.

Then there’s the fact that they would be asking voters to elect them for a term of service that they may not complete. Short tenures in Congress haven’t precluded at least one recent presidential success story — Barack Obama served just four years into his Senate term before winning the White House in 2008.

Though many presidents have once served in the Senate, only three sitting senators have been elected president: Obama, John F. Kennedy and Warren G.

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