A new Cook Political Report Swing State Project Survey conducted by BSG and GS Strategy Group (September 19-25; 2,941 voters), shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading or tied with former President Donald Trump in all but one of the seven battleground states. Overall, she holds a narrow lead of 49% to 48% in a two-way matchup.
Harris has a lead within the margin of error in Arizona (+2), Michigan (+3), Nevada (+1), Pennsylvania (+1), and Wisconsin (+2). Trump is ahead 49% to 47% in Georgia, and the two candidates are tied at 49% in North Carolina.
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Since our last Swing State Project Survey in August, millions of dollars in advertising have been spent, a highly anticipated presidential debate has occurred, and there was another assassination attempt on Trump’s life. However, these significant events had little impact on the overall horse race in the battleground states.
Our August survey also found Harris with a narrow lead overall (48% to 47%) and leading or tied with Trump in all but one of the seven battleground states.
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