Back by popular demand, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter is pleased to introduce our 2024 Demographic Swingometer — an interactive tool that allows anyone to simulate how fluctuations in turnout and partisan support among unique components of the electorate could alter this year’s outcome in the Electoral College.
Ever wondered what the 2024 election map would look like if:
- Kamala Harris improves upon Democrats’ 2020 performance with seniors?
- Donald Trump makes inroads with Black and Hispanic voters?
- College-educated white voters make up a larger share of the electorate than in 2020?
- Trump performs better among non-college white voters than polls currently indicate?
Our interactive starts with the results of the 2020 election and allows you to choose your own adventure, estimating how shifts in voting patterns would impact all 50 states plus Washington, D.C. (Democrats’ starting point is 303 electoral votes rather than the 306 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris carried four years ago, owing to reapportionment).
Learn more about how the 2024 Swingometer works
View the 2024 Demographic Swingometer
There are endless possibilities, and the scenarios you’d like to test
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Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.