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We are approaching the halfway point in the redistricting cycle. Republicans are poised for modest gain due to redistricting alone. One trend we are watching is the decline in competitive districts. So far the biggest victim of this redistricting cycle is competition. The number of competitive seats has a 58% decline so far in the 20 states who have passed new lines. The more dramatic effect: even more competition will shift from general elections to primaries, aiding the prospects of more extreme or confrontational candidates.
Read David Wasserman's latest piece here.
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