First Person is a series of quick videos from the Cook Political Report editors exclusively for our premium members.

This week, David Wasserman breaks down what our first Harris vs. Trump national polling average tells us.

Transcript:

Hey. This is David Wasserman, senior editor and elections analyst for the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. And this week, we relaunched our national polling average to reflect the new reshuffled matchup between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Now for the first half of the year, the most remarkable feature of the race, the rematch between Biden and Trump, was its stability.

Donald Trump gets convicted in Manhattan, still forty six Trump, forty five Biden. Hunter Biden gets convicted in Delaware, still forty six Trump, forty five Biden. Biden has a disastrous debate performance in Atlanta, forty seven Trump, forty four Biden, which qualified as a seismic shift.

And yet, what do we see today? Well, Kamala Harris has energized Democrats. She has rallied young Democrats, black voters as well. And yet it's forty seven Trump, forty six Harris

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