CPR PollTracker: Trump Trendlines & Crosstabs

The Cook Political Report’s PollTracker is back. This thoughtfully curated polling aggregator calculates a rolling daily average of Trump’s overall approval rating as well as his standing within key demographic subgroups.

Like our head-to-head presidential polling average in 2024, the CPR PollTracker will include a daily average of a total of 21 national polls that The Cook Political Report considers reliable, transparent and methodologically sound. It will also track the president’s standing among key voting demographics: men, women, white college graduates, white non-college graduates, Black Americans, Latino Americans, 18-to-29-year-olds, seniors, Democrats, Republicans and independents.

“Tracking the president’s approval among the coalition groups that propelled him to victory in 2024 — most notably Latino voters, young people and independents — will give us a strong indication of whether those voters will show up next year to support Republicans not named Donald Trump,” said Carrie Dann, managing editor of The Cook Political Report.

Trump Approval Trendline

Methodology:

The tracker will be updated daily. The Cook Political Report average includes 12 more traditional national polls that incorporate live interviews (ABC News/Wash Post, CNBC, CNN, FOX News, Gallup, Marquette Law School, NBC News, NPR/PBS/Marist, NYTimes/Siena, Quinnipiac, Suffolk/USA Today and Wall Street Journal) and nine online/large panel polls (ABC News/Ipsos, CBS News, Economist/YouGov, Harvard/Harris, Morning Consult, Pew Research Center, Reuters/Ipsos, SurveyUSA and Yahoo News).

To be included in our national polling average, a poll must:

Meet basic transparency standards of publishing sample size and survey methodology.
Be conducted partially or entirely in the past 60 days. Polls are weighted by recency (for example, a poll that came out of the field a day ago counts roughly twice as much as a poll that came out of the field a month ago).
Include results among all Americans, registered voters, or likely voters. As the cycle continues and pollsters begin to employ registered and likely voter models, we will default to the highest level of specificity; early in the cycle, we will default to surveys of adults when surveys of registered/likely voters are not available.

Because online pollsters tend to survey voters more frequently than live-interview pollsters (including some that survey voters on a rolling basis), we only include the single most recent result of each online pollster to prevent one pollster from dominating the average. Multiple surveys conducted by the same live-interview pollster may be included, provided they were all conducted in the last 60 days.