HOUSE

Florida FL-06 House2018

RACE AT A GLANCE

SEAT HELD

Michael Waltz

RACE WINNER

Michael Waltz

Seat held

RACE TYPE

OPEN

Ron DeSantis (R)

Running for Governor

RACE RATING

Last updated : Oct 23, 2018
Likely R
Lean R

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Apr 3, 2018
D +50
R +50
R +7

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: May 4, 2018

Primary Election: Aug 28, 2018

INCUMBENT

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First Elected: Sign in to view

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INCUMBENT

Ron DeSantis

First Elected: 2018

Last General Election: 58.6%

Last Primary Election: 61.0%

Full Bio:
DeSANTIS, Ron, a Representative from Florida; born in Jacksonville, Duval County, Fla., September 14, 1978; graduated from Dunedin High School, Dunedin, Fla., 1997; B.A., Yale University, New Haven, Conn., 2001; J.D., Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass., 2005; United States Navy, 2004-2010; United States Navy Reserve, 2010-present; author; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Thirteenth and to the two succeeding Congresses (January 3, 2013-present).

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Democrats

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Republicans

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DISTRICT DATA

Florida - 06

Northern Atlantic coast: Daytona Beach, Palm Coast 

Population Breakdown

Source: American Community Survey 2015

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%

Past Presidential Results from this District

2016 Election Results

Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

2012 Election Results

Source:

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

The Bottom Line

Updated: Oct 23, 2018

Lean Republican. In a surprise, Republicans' concern in Florida now extends beyond Ron DeSantis's standing in the governor's race to his open House seat. Democrat Nancy Soderberg, a protege of Madeleine Albright who served as a UN representative in the Clinton administration, has leveraged those connections to raise $2.4 million and had a three-week head start on the airwaves over GOP Army veteran Mike Waltz.

It should have been easy for Republicans to disqualify Soderberg as a liberal, elitist Clintonista in a Daytona Beach district President Trump carried 57 percent to 40 percent in 2016. But Soderberg, who runs a leadership program at the University of North Florida, didn't face a primary and stockpiled her money and has skewered Waltz for supporting the GOP healthcare bill. Now, Democrats' internal polling shows the race tied.

Waltz grew up in Jacksonville and served as a Green Beret in Afghanistan and an adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney. His new ads frame the race as a "Green Beret" versus a "liberal bureaucrat" who worked for the Clintons, and he's getting back up from American Patriots PAC ads linking Soderberg to Nancy Pelosi. The race should move back in Waltz's favor once those attacks sink in, but Republicans have some catching up to do.

Race Analysis

Updated: Jun 11, 2026

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