PRESIDENTIAL

2016 CPR Electoral College Ratings

Nov 7, 2016
PDF Document

About CPR Electoral College Race Ratings

The CPR Electoral College Ratings assess the competitiveness of the states and districts that comprise the 538 electoral votes. To be elected president, a candidate needs to win 270 electoral votes. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state and district's political makeup, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with campaign professionals.  When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to our terms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, please submit a request.

RATINGS SUMMARY
Solid DemocratSolid Republican

183

30

65

46

57

71

86

ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES

D - 278
T - 46
R - 214

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.

Likely: These races are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.

Lean: These races are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.

Toss Up: These races are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Electoral College Ratings

SOLID D

LIKELY D

  • California-55
  • Connecticut-7
  • Delaware-3
  • District of Columbia-3
  • Hawaii-4
  • Illinois-20
  • Maine(01)-1
  • Maryland-10
  • Massachusetts-11
  • New Jersey-14
  • New York-29
  • Oregon-7
  • Rhode Island-4
  • Vermont-3
  • Washington-12
  • Maine-2
  • Minnesota-10
  • New Mexico-5
  • Virginia-13

183 EV

30 EV

LEAN D

TOSS UP

  • Colorado-9
  • Michigan-16
  • Nevada-6
  • New Hampshire-4
  • Pennsylvania-20
  • Wisconsin-10
  • Florida-29
  • Maine(02)-1
  • Nebraska(02)-1
  • North Carolina-15

65 EV

46 EV

LEAN R

LIKELY R

  • Arizona-11
  • Georgia-16
  • Iowa-6
  • Ohio-18
  • Utah-6
  • Alaska-3
  • Indiana-11
  • Missouri-10
  • South Carolina-9
  • Texas-38

57 EV

71 EV

SOLID R

  • Alabama-9
  • Arkansas-6
  • Idaho-4
  • Kansas-6
  • Kentucky-8
  • Louisiana-8
  • Mississippi-6
  • Montana-3
  • Nebraska-2
  • Nebraska(01)-1
  • Nebraska(03)-1
  • North Dakota-3
  • Oklahoma-7
  • South Dakota-3
  • Tennessee-11
  • West Virginia-5
  • Wyoming-3

86 EV

Maine and Nebraska each award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one electoral vote to the winner in each congressional district.

✕

Solid Democrat

State
Electoral Votes
California
55
Connecticut
7
Delaware
3
District of Columbia
3
Hawaii
4
Illinois
20
Maine
1
Maryland
10
Massachusetts
11
New Jersey
14
New York
29
Oregon
7
Rhode Island
4
Vermont
3
Washington
12
✕

Solid Republican

State
Electoral Votes
Alabama
9
Arkansas
6
Idaho
4
Kansas
6
Kentucky
8
Louisiana
8
Mississippi
6
Montana
3
Nebraska
2
Nebraska
1
Nebraska
1
North Dakota
3
Oklahoma
7
South Dakota
3
Tennessee
11
West Virginia
5
Wyoming
3