PRESIDENTIAL

2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings

Jul 27, 2023

About CPR Electoral College Race Ratings

The CPR Electoral College Ratings assess the competitiveness of the states and districts that comprise the 538 electoral votes. To be elected president, a candidate needs to win 270 electoral votes. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state and district's political makeup, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with campaign professionals.  When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to our terms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, please submit a request.

RATINGS SUMMARY
Solid DemocratSolid Republican

209

17

21

56

16

71

148

ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES

D - 247
T - 56
R - 235

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.

Likely: These races are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.

Lean: These races are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.

Toss Up: These races are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Electoral College Ratings

SOLID D

LIKELY D

  • California-54
  • Colorado-10
  • Connecticut-7
  • Delaware-3
  • District of Columbia-3
  • Hawaii-4
  • Illinois-19
  • Maine(01)-1
  • Maryland-10
  • Massachusetts-11
  • New Jersey-14
  • New Mexico-5
  • New York-28
  • Oregon-8
  • Rhode Island-4
  • Vermont-3
  • Virginia-13
  • Washington-12
  • Maine-2
  • Minnesota-10
  • Nebraska(02)-1
  • New Hampshire-4

209 EV

17 EV

LEAN D

TOSS UP

  • Michigan-15
  • Nevada-6
  • Arizona-11
  • Georgia-16
  • Pennsylvania-19
  • Wisconsin-10

21 EV

56 EV

LEAN R

LIKELY R

  • North Carolina-16
  • Florida-30
  • Maine(02)-1
  • Texas-40

16 EV

71 EV

SOLID R

  • Alabama-9
  • Alaska-3
  • Arkansas-6
  • Idaho-4
  • Indiana-11
  • Iowa-6
  • Kansas-6
  • Kentucky-8
  • Louisiana-8
  • Mississippi-6
  • Missouri-10
  • Montana-4
  • Nebraska-2
  • Nebraska(01)-1
  • Nebraska(03)-1
  • North Dakota-3
  • Ohio-17
  • Oklahoma-7
  • South Carolina-9
  • South Dakota-3
  • Tennessee-11
  • Utah-6
  • West Virginia-4
  • Wyoming-3

148 EV

Maine and Nebraska each award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one electoral vote to the winner in each congressional district.

✕

Solid Democrat

State
Electoral Votes
California
54
Colorado
10
Connecticut
7
Delaware
3
District of Columbia
3
Hawaii
4
Illinois
19
Maine
1
Maryland
10
Massachusetts
11
New Jersey
14
New Mexico
5
New York
28
Oregon
8
Rhode Island
4
Vermont
3
Virginia
13
Washington
12
✕

Solid Republican

State
Electoral Votes
Alabama
9
Alaska
3
Arkansas
6
Idaho
4
Indiana
11
Iowa
6
Kansas
6
Kentucky
8
Louisiana
8
Mississippi
6
Missouri
10
Montana
4
Nebraska
2
Nebraska
1
Nebraska
1
North Dakota
3
Ohio
17
Oklahoma
7
South Carolina
9
South Dakota
3
Tennessee
11
Utah
6
West Virginia
4
Wyoming
3