HOUSE

Michigan MI-08 House2018

RACE AT A GLANCE

SEAT FLIPPED

Elissa Slotkin

RACE WINNER

Elissa Slotkin

Seat flipped

RACE TYPE

Incumbent running

Mike Bishop (R)

RACE RATING

Last updated : Jul 13, 2018
Lean R
Toss Up

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Apr 3, 2018
D +50
R +50
R +4

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Apr 24, 2018

Primary Election: Aug 7, 2018

INCUMBENT

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First Elected: Sign in to view

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INCUMBENT

Mike Bishop

First Elected: 2014

Last General Election: 56.0%

Last Primary Election: -

Full Bio:
BISHOP, Michael Dean, a Representative from Michigan; born in Almont, Lapeer County, Mich., March 18, 1967; graduated from Rochester Adams High School, Rochester Hills, Mich.; A.B., University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Mich., 1989; J.D., Detroit College of Law (now Michigan State College of Law), East Lansing, Mich., 1993; lawyer, private practice; realtor; business owner; member of the Michigan state house of representatives, 1999-2002; member of the Michigan state senate, 2003-2010, majority leader, 2007-2010; unsuccessful candidate for nomination for Michigan state attorney general, 2010; unsuccessful candidate for election as Oakland County, Mich., prosecutor, 2012; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Fourteenth and to the succeeding Congress (January 3, 2015-present).

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Democrats

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Independents / Other Parties

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DISTRICT DATA

Michigan - 08

East central: Flint, Saginaw, Bay Cities 

Population Breakdown

Source: American Community Survey 2015

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%

Past Presidential Results from this District

2016 Election Results

Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

2012 Election Results

Source:

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

The Bottom Line

Updated: Aug 24, 2018

The Detroit suburbs are an important House battleground. Two-term GOP Rep. Mike Bishop didn't have a well-funded opponent in 2014 or 2016, but that's changed this year. Democrat Elissa Slotkin, who grew up in a well-known meatpacking family in rural Holly and served three tours in Iraq as an Arabic-proficient CIA analyst, has raised over $2 million and ended March with more cash on hand than Bishop.

The 8th CD combines Republican-leaning areas of Oakland County with the liberal state capital of Lansing. In 2016, it voted for President Trump 51 percent to 44 percent, while Bishop took 56 percent against a young prosecutor who got a late start. But in 2018, Democrats will finally have the resources to litigate Bishop's record, and multiple private surveys depict Bishop in weak shape.

Slotkin will contrast her service in sensitive areas of the world with Bishop's lengthy political career. Prior to his election, Bishop served as majority leader of the state Senate and made several enemies for trying to block construction of a new bridge to Canada at a prominent donor's behest. Democrats will also go after Bishop's votes in favor of the GOP's healthcare and tax bills.

Slotkin's most glaring vulnerability is the "carpetbagging elitist" label: she moved back to Michigan from DC in 2017 after wrapping up her post as Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense and hadn't been registered to vote in Michigan since she left for college at Cornell University. But her cash advantage means she'll likely get to define the terms of debate just as much as Bishop.

Race Analysis

Updated: Jul 26, 2026

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