HOUSE

Iowa IA-02 House2026

RACE AT A GLANCE

RACE TYPE

OPEN

Ashley Hinson (R)

Running for Senate

RACE RATING

Last updated : Jun 18, 2026
Likely R
Lean R

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Nov 17, 2025
D +50
R +50
R +4

Race summary

The 2nd District has been fairly safe for Republicans in recent years — in part due to Trump’s success with blue-collar voters along the Mississippi River, and in part due to Rep. Ashley Hinson’s strength. But Democrats, eager to win the competitive gubernatorial and Senate races in the state, are highly motivated to carry this now-open seat in northeast Iowa.

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Mar 13, 2026

Primary Election: Jun 2, 2026

INCUMBENT

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INCUMBENT

Ashley Hinson

First Elected: 2020

Last General Election: 57.1%

Last Primary Election: 100.0%

Full Bio:
HINSON, Ashley, a Representative from Iowa; born in Des Moines, Polk County, Iowa, June 27, 1983; graduated Valley High School, West Des Moines, Iowa, 2001; B.A., University of Southern California, Los Angeles, Calif., 2004; journalist; member of the Iowa state house of representatives, 2017-2020; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Seventeenth Congress (January 3, 2021 – Present).

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Independents / Other Parties

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Democrats

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Republicans

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DISTRICT DATA

Iowa - 02

Northeast: Cedar Rapids, Dubuque 

Population Breakdown

Source: 2020 Census (VAP) for 2026

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%
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    xx.x%

Past Presidential Results from this District

2024 Election Results

Source: Dave Leip

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

2020 Election Results

Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

Race Analysis

Updated: Jun 18, 2026

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