HOUSE
North Carolina NC-03 House2026
RACE AT A GLANCE
RACE TYPE
Incumbent running
Greg Murphy (R)
COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX
Last updated : Nov 17, 2025D +50
R +50
R +6
Race summary
The 3rd District remains a longshot for Democrats, even under a new congressional map. Trump now would have carried the 3rd District by 14 points. The combination of a strong candidate and a tsunami-like wave for Democrats could put incumbent Rep. Greg Murphy at risk of losing. But so far, no one credible has emerged on the Democratic side. Murphy, a urologist, has $2 million sitting in his campaign account if his reelection prospects start to look uncertain.Key Dates
Filing Deadline: Dec 19, 2025
Primary Election: Mar 3, 2026
INCUMBENT
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INCUMBENT
Full Bio:
MURPHY, Gregory Francis, a Representative from North Carolina; born on March 5, 1963; graduated from Raleigh Broughton High School, Raleigh, N.C.; graduated from Davidson College, Davidson, N.C., 1985; M.D., University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, N.C.; urologic surgeon; member of the North Carolina state house of representatives, 2019; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Sixteenth Congress, by special election, to fill the vacancy caused by the death of United States Representative Walter Beaman Jones, Jr., and reelected to the succeeding Congress (September 10, 2019-present).
Source: Bioguide
CANDIDATES
Democrats
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DISTRICT DATA
North Carolina - 03
East: Greenville, Wilson, Jacksonville
Population Breakdown
Source: 2020 Census (VAP) for 2026
Past Presidential Results from this District
2024 Election Results
Source: Dave Leip
2020 Election Results
Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST
RACE ANALYSIS
Race Analysis
Updated: Oct 22, 2025
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