SENATE

Nevada Senate2018

RACE AT A GLANCE

SEAT FLIPPED

Jacky Rosen

RACE WINNER

Jacky Rosen

Seat flipped

RACE TYPE

Incumbent running

Dean Heller (R)

RACE RATING

Last updated: Aug 17, 2017
Lean R
Toss Up

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Mar 16, 2018

Primary Election: Jun 12, 2018

INCUMBENT

Sign in to view

First Elected: Sign in to view

Last General Election: Sign in to view

Last Primary Election: Sign in to view

INCUMBENT

Dean Heller

First Elected: 2011

Last General Election: 45.9%

Last Primary Election: 86.3%

Full Bio:
HELLER, Dean, a Senator and a Representative from Nevada; born in Castro Valley, Alameda County, Calif., May 10, 1960; graduated from Carson High School, Carson City, Nev.; B.S., University of Southern California, Los Angeles, Calif., 1985; member of the Nevada state assembly 1990-1994; Nevada secretary of state 1995-2007; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Tenth and to the two succeeding Congresses, and served from January 3, 2007, to May 9, 2011, when he resigned to become a U.S. senator; appointed May 3, 2011, to the United States Senate for the term ending January 3, 2013, to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of John E. Ensign; took the oath of office on May 9, 2011; subsequently elected in 2012 for the term ending January 3, 2019.

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Democrats

  • Sign in to view

Independents / Other Parties

  • Sign in to view

  • Sign in to view

  • Sign in to view

STATE DATA

Nevada

 

Population Breakdown

Source: American Community Survey

  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
  • Sign in to view
    xx.xx%

Past Presidential Results from this State

2016 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report/POLIDATA

  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
    xx votes
  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
    xx votes

2012 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report/POLIDATA

  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
    xx votes
  • Sign in to view
    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

The Bottom Line

Updated: Jun 15, 2018

U.S. Sen. Dean Heller has the unfortunate distinction of occupying the most vulnerable of the nine Republicans seats up this cycle. His vulnerability stems largely from the fact that he is the only Republican incumbent facing voters next year who is sits in a state that Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton carried in 2016. This means that Democrats have put a very big target on him, and are throwing everything they have at him. Conservatives may not be happy with Heller, but they didn’t give him much of a primary fight. He won the nomination in the June 12 primary with 70 percent of the vote, while public works manager Tom Heck took 19 percent, and three minor candidates and “none of these candidates” combined for the remaining 11 percent. Heck didn’t run much of a campaign and it’s possible that some voters confused him with former U.S. Rep. Joe Heck, who ran for the U.S. Senate in 2016. The Democratic nominee is U.S. Rep. Jacky Rosen, who won the primary with 77 percent. “None of these candidates” placed second with 7 percent, and five minor candidates combined for the remaining 16 percent. Heller is well acquainted with close races; he won this seat in 2012 by just over 10,000 votes, but this may prove to be a tougher race as he is under unrelenting attack from Democrats. The contest is in the Toss Up column.

Race Analysis

Updated: Jun 27, 2026

Subscribe to see the real analysis. Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Nullam eleifend augue ac justo finibus consequat. Nulla fermentum nisi quis eros feugiat pulvinar. Duis rutrum, purus at porta rhoncus, ligula libero vulputate erat, id venenatis elit est ac neque. Praesent maximus tristique lorem, quis efficitur urna pharetra at. In posuere rutrum elit, ut vehicula tortor cursus a. Nunc non leo enim. Quisque eu dui non massa malesuada euismod. Proin eget vestibulum diam. Duis interdum scelerisque risus, at tempor diam commodo eu. Vivamus sit amet orci ut arcu condimentum hendrerit ut non nibh. In hac habitasse platea dictumst. Quisque suscipit feugiat ante eu pellentesque. Duis eu ipsum quis ligula auctor accumsan ut nec dolor. Cras metus ipsum, molestie vitae volutpat at, semper nec nisi. Sed blandit risus velit, et dictum velit tristique euismod. Quisque aliquet nulla vitae sagittis scelerisque.

RELATED CHARTS

Subscriber Exclusive

The Right Analysis for Getting it Right

Want to access all race pages? Subscribe for $35 a month to continue reading. Cancel anytime.