Contributing Analyst Leah Askarinam co-authored this report.

New Jersey’s Democratic establishment is slowly picking up the pieces from last week’s high-magnitude political earthquake.

Allegations of corruption have once again rattled the career of Sen. Bob Menendez — only this time, his deeply-entrenched political allies have shown little willingness to stand by the longtime incumbent’s side. Though Sen. Menendez has remained defiant in the face of calls to resign, New Jersey’s bountiful bench of aspiring Democrats has little interest in waiting for his defense to make its way through the courts. Last week, 3rd District Rep. Andy Kim announced that he would run for the Senate regardless of whether Menendez sticks it out. He’s not alone: 2nd District GOP Rep. Jeff Van Drew has publicly floated the possibility of a bid, and at least three other Democrats are expected to give it serious consideration.

Though New Jersey’s 2024 landscape will develop slowly given November’s upcoming legislative elections, it’s quite possible that the Garden State ends up playing host to a multi-seat shuffle. That’s to say nothing of the fate of 8th

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