As states complete new maps, we'll be issuing new 2022 House ratings and analysis on a rolling basis. Be sure to bookmark our national redistricting tracker, new ratings map, and House incumbents risk map to keep up with all the latest developments.
This week, by statute, the congressional map passed by Arkansas's GOP legislature became law without GOP Gov. Asa Hutchinson's signature. On October 13, Hutchinson announced he would neither veto nor sign the bill, expressing reservations about its three-way split of heavily Black parts of Pulaski County (Little Rock). By doing so, Hutchinson was practically inviting a racial gerrymandering lawsuit while avoiding rebuking his own party.
Arkansas Democrats have been locked out of the House delegation for 10 years, but the new GOP plan throws away the key. Little Rock GOP Rep. French Hill, who prevailed by six points in 2018 and 11 points in 2020, picks up rural Cleburne County (where Donald Trump took 81 percent) and lose Black pockets of Pulaski, upping Trump's 2020 margin in the 2nd CD from nine points to 14 points -
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.