Throughout the 2022 cycle, we'll be providing quick updates on important redistricting developments in each state. Be sure to visit our "Road Map to Redistricting" for an overview of who controls the process and links to our state-by-state analysis. Also be sure to bookmark our "House Incumbents Most at Risk" and "Enacted Maps & 2022 Ratings" interactives.
On Thursday, Arizona's independent commission (composed of two Democrats, two Republicans and an independent tie-breaker) voted unanimously to adopt an official "draft map" to take on the road at public hearings, with a goal of approving a final map by December 22. It's still just a draft, but the map would seriously imperil both Democratic Rep. Tom O'Halleran (AZ-01) and GOP Rep. David Schweikert (AZ-06).
The draft would unite all of deeply red Yavapai County in O'Halleran's northern CD, flipping it from Biden +2 to nearly Trump +10 and likely rendering it unwinnable for the moderate Democrat. Conversely, it would pull Schweikert's district closer in towards Phoenix, flipping it from Trump +4 to Biden +3. In the Tucson area, retiring Democratic Rep.
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.