Tennessee is up next in our redistricting series. Throughout 2021, we'll delve into the states in detail, spotlighting a different state's redistricting outlook each week. Make sure to read our full redistricting outlook.
Current Delegation: 7R, 2D
Projected 2022 Seats: 9 (No change)
Redistricting Control: Republican
Map credit: Cook Political Report, drawn with Dave's Redistricting App
This chart provides a breakdown of how many residents each current district would need to add or shed to meet the required district target population in 2022, based on 2020 Census data.
Tennessee has become such an overwhelmingly Republican state that it's hard to believe Democrats held a 5-4 edge in its House delegation as recently as 2010. Since 2011, the GOP has held a stable 7-2 advantage in House seats. In 2020, Tennessee gave Donald Trump his largest raw vote margin of any state and the GOP controls both the governorship and more than three-quarters of state legislative seats.
The current map relegates Democrats to just two seats: the Nashville 5th CD and
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.