Last week, Republican primary voters finalized the match up most media have been rooting for, nominating former Gov. Mark Sanford with 57 percent of the runoff vote to face Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch, whose family ties no longer need introduction. Democrats reacted with excitement, pointing to two pre-runoff polls showing Colbert Busch leading Sanford. But with a month to go, operatives on both sides agree the polls present an overly rosy depiction of Colbert Busch's chances of pulling off the upset.For Democrats, this special is almost a no-lose proposition: by the numbers, they shouldn't even be competitive in this race, let alone win. According to the newly updated Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index, there are 119 House Republicans sitting in districts less Republican than SC-01 and only two Democrats sitting in districts more Republican that SC-01. And yet, Democrats have a nominee with national fundraising appeal while Republicans just nominated the central figure in one of the most notorious political sex scandals of the past five years.Two late March polls, one by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling and
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