Every time former President Donald Trump is indicted again or faces new allegations that would end any normal political career, one can count on a chorus of voices singing that the trance he has held over the Republican Party will finally be broken, and his chances of winning the Republican nomination will finally drop. They seem to believe that repeating it over and over again will make it true.

In reality, barring an adverse health event, the odds of Republicans nominating anyone other than Trump are already low, and dropping every month.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of 932 likely Republican primary voters taken July 23-27 and released this morning underscores the front-runner’s imposing advantage. With 54 percent of the vote, Trump runs 37 points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who at 17 percent had less than one-third the support of the 45th president.

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, former Vice President Mike Pence, and Sen. Tim Scott were in a three-way tie for third place at a mere 3 percent each. Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie

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