One of the biggest hazards in analyzing politics and elections is to read too much into a single finding from a single poll, or a few snippets here and there. One or even two polls does not make a trend. As a mentor of mine used to say, “A single poll may be an outlier. Two is something interesting to look at, but don’t stick your neck out too far. Three is time to pay attention; it’s too much to dismiss.”
With that in mind, let’s look at what’s happening with public attitudes towards President Biden’s unwavering support for Israel after the Hamas attack three weeks ago. We’re starting to see a trend of generational cleavages on the issue, which could portend even more challenges for Biden’s reelection.
Gallup polling in October found that Biden’s job-approval rating had dropped 4 points in a month, going from 41 to 37 percent. The October number tied for Biden’s lowest yet, but the drop was primarily among his fellow Democrats, going from 86 percent approval in September to 75 percent in October. Among
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