HOUSE

California CA-09 House2026

RACE AT A GLANCE

RACE TYPE

Incumbent running

Josh Harder (D)

RACE RATING

Last updated : Nov 5, 2025
Lean D
Solid D

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Nov 17, 2025
D +50
R +50
D +8

Race summary

Democratic Rep. Josh Harder won reelection by less than four points in 2024 but will have no trouble winning this new district, which still overlaps with about 70% of the old 9th District. In June's primary, Harder surged to win a majority of the vote, with GOP John McBride following him into the general.

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Mar 6, 2026

Primary Election: Jun 2, 2026

INCUMBENT

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First Elected: Sign in to view

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INCUMBENT

Josh Harder

First Elected: 2018

Last General Election: 51.8%

Last Primary Election: 49.7%

Full Bio:
HARDER, Josh, a Representative from California; born in Turlock, Stanislaus County, Calif., August 1, 1986; graduated from Modesto Public High School, Modesto, Calif.; B.A., Stanford University, Stanford, Calif.; M.B.A., Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; M.P.P., Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.; entrepreneur; consultant; professor; elected as a Democrat to the One Hundred Sixteenth Congress (January 3, 2019-present).

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Republicans

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DISTRICT DATA

California - 09

Stockton, Tracy, Antioch 

Population Breakdown

Source: 2020 Census (VAP) for 2026

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%
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    xx.x%

Past Presidential Results from this District

2024 Election Results

Source: Dave Leip

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

2020 Election Results

Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

Race Analysis

Updated: Nov 4, 2025

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