HOUSE
Florida FL-15 House2026
RACE AT A GLANCE
RACE TYPE
Incumbent running
Laurel Lee (R)
COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX
Last updated : Nov 17, 2025D +50
R +50
R +9
Race summary
The Tampa Bay-based 15th District has been shored up considerably under the new map, protecting Rep. Laurel Lee in a potential blue wave year.Key Dates
Filing Deadline: Apr 24, 2026
Primary Election: Aug 18, 2026
INCUMBENT
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CANDIDATES
DISTRICT DATA
Florida - 15
Tampa Bay: Spring Hill, Pasco County
Population Breakdown
Source: 2020 Census (VAP) for 2026
Past Presidential Results from this District
2024 Election Results
Source: Dave Leip
2020 Election Results
Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST
RACE ANALYSIS
Race Analysis
Updated: May 8, 2026
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