HOUSE

2016 House Race Ratings

Nov 7, 2016
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RATINGS SUMMARY
Editor's Note: For the 2022 cycle, new ratings will be issued on a rolling basis as states finalize new redistricting maps. In new districts with no incumbent, the Cook Political Report's policy is to list the "incumbent party" according to the new district's estimated Partisan Voter Index score.
Solid DemocratSolid Republican

178

4

7

18

12

15

201

SOLID SEATS

D - 178
R - 201
Click on bars to see solid seats breakdown

LIKELY/LEAN SEATS

D - 6
R - 25
 

Toss Up or Worse

D - 4
R - 21
 

Likely : These seats are not considered competitive at this point, but have the potential to become engaged.

Lean : These are considered competitive races, but one party has an advantage.

Toss Up : These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

COMPETITIVE RACES

*Italicized name denotes Freshman member

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

2 Dem2 Rep
0 Ind

LEAN DEMOCRATIC

4 Dem3 Rep
0 Ind

  • FL-10 Open
  • MD-06 Delaney
  • NY-25 Slaughter
  • VA-04 Open
  • AZ-01 Open
  • CA-07 Bera
  • CA-24 Open
  • FL-13 Jolly
  • NH-01 Guinta
  • NV-04 Hardy
  • NY-03 Open

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP

2 Dem0 Rep
0 Ind

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP

0 Dem16 Rep
0 Ind

  • MN-08 Nolan
  • NE-02 Ashford
  • CA-10 Denham
  • CA-25 Knight
  • CA-49 Issa
  • CO-06 Coffman
  • FL-07 Mica
  • FL-26 Curbelo
  • IA-01 Blum
  • IL-10 Dold
  • ME-02 Poliquin
  • MN-02 Open
  • NJ-05 Scott Garrett
  • NV-03 Open
  • NY-19 Open
  • PA-08 Open
  • TX-23 Hurd
  • VA-10 Comstock

LEAN REPUBLICAN

1 Dem11 Rep
0 Ind

LIKELY REPUBLICAN

1 Dem14 Rep
0 Ind

  • AK-AL Young
  • CA-21 Valadao
  • FL-18 Open
  • IA-03 Young
  • IN-09 Open
  • KS-03 Yoder
  • MI-01 Open
  • MI-08 Bishop
  • MN-03 Paulsen
  • NY-22 Open
  • PA-16 Open
  • UT-04 Love
  • AZ-02 McSally
  • CO-03 Tipton
  • FL-02 Open
  • FL-27 Ros-Lehtinen
  • IL-12 Bost
  • IN-02 Walorski
  • MI-07 Walberg
  • MT-AL Zinke
  • NY-01 Zeldin
  • NY-21 Stefanik
  • NY-23 Reed
  • NY-24 Katko
  • PA-06 Costello
  • VA-05 Open
  • WI-08 Open

Solid Democrat

Solid Republican