Even though President Biden carried the Nutmeg State by 20 points, given the shifts in gubernatorial elections we saw in 2021, Democrats can’t take any race for granted given the current environment. In nearby New Jersey, Biden won by 14 points but Phil Murphy’s re-election was only a razor-thin 3.2 points. Plus, Republicans of course currently hold other New England governorships in Vermont and Massachusetts, though the latter is highly likely to flip this November.

Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont is facing a rematch with his 2018 opponent Bob Stefanowski, whom he only beat 49.4%-46.2% four years ago. However, Democrats are quick to point out — even though 2018 was writ large a great year for Democrats — that Lamont was dragged down by outgoing Gov. Dan Malloy’s horrendous approval ratings, which had plummeted to a terrible 15 percent right before the election. Comparatively, then-President Trump was at 35 percent. Stefanowski worked to make Lamont into Malloy 2.0, tying him to the state’s budget shortfall and promising to repeal the state income tax. In his term so far, Lamont has

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