While the 2020 cycle was a relatively calm one for governors races, the 2022 midterm cycle will feature 36 gubernatorial elections, along with two this year in 2021. Today we are unveiling our initial 2021/2022 governors ratings.
The GOP still has the most governorships overall — 27 Republicans to 23 Democrats — including a pickup of one in 2020 when they flipped the open Montana governor race. In the 2021/2022 cycle, Republicans will be largely on defense, with 20 races on the ballot compared to 16 for Democrats (and two in the off-year). But after flipping seven races in 2018, Democrats will also have several crucial first-term incumbents to defend. Our new At-A-Glance page below highlights some names to watch in each state, but it’s far too early for top names to emerge in most races.
Currently, there are eight open seats. At least two for each party should easily remain in their column — Arkansas and Nebraska for Republicans and Oregon and Hawaii for Democrats. And Democrats are also favored in the Virginia
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.