The following Bottom Lines have been updated following this week's primaries Michigan.


Democrats have this Republican-held open seat high on their list of targets this cycle. Former state Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer is the nominee, winning the Democratic primary with 52 percent of the vote to 30 percent for physician Abdul El-Sayed and 18 percent for wealthy businessman Shri Thanedar. Whitmer is arguably the strongest general election candidate for Democrats. On the Republican side, state Attorney General Bill Schuette won the nomination with 51 percent to 25 percent for Lt. Gov. Brian Calley; two other candidates split the remaining 24 percent of the vote. Democrats will paint Schuette as too conservative and as an ally of President Trump. Trump isn’t very popular in a state he narrowly carried in 2016 and he endorsed Schuette early in the primary race. Republicans contend that Whitmer is an ineffective leader who is in the pocket of labor unions. The contest stays in the Toss Up column.

Image: Gretchen Whitmer | Credit: AP Photo/Carlos Osorio

More from the Cook Political Report

First Person
Cook Politcal Logo